Betting: Nottingham Forest vs. Millwall

© Edmund Boyden

MILLWALL continued their recent resurgence away from home with an emphatic 3-0 win at Peterborough earlier this week.

The Lions have bagged 11 goals in their past four away matches, and were it not for a late howler from David Forde at Brighton, Tuesday’s victory would’ve been their fourth consecutive win on the road.

With bookmakers overlooking this fact, and making Nottingham Forest favourites for today’s six-pointer, it makes sense to back Kenny Jackett’s side to maintain their away run against a side that have recorded just one home win since mid-November.

When in-from, Millwall come flying out the blocks so, as has been the case in recent weeks, the value lies in gearing bets towards a bright Millwall start.

34 of Millwall’s last 45 wins have come from leading at half-time so, with the Tote and Betfred offering 6-1, a return to the Millwall half-time/full-time bet is in order.

Andy Keogh and Harry Kane have bagged five goals between them in the past three games and the pair appear value to continue their recent success. A split-stakes bet (17-2 the pair) equates to 3.75-1 for one of Millwall’s new centre-forward pairing to net first.

Elsewhere, in the Premier League, I’m surprised the odd-compilers make Liverpool so short for their trip to Sunderland. With Liverpool having won just two of their previous ten league matches, the home side look value to take something from the game.

Sunderland/Sunderland is approaching 7-1 on Betfair, which is tempting, but the 2-1 on the ‘draw no bet’ market seems the best option.

Draw No Bet
1pt 13-8 – Ladbrokes

Time of first away goal
0-60 mins
1pt 19-20 – William Hill

Goal in both halves
1pt 5-6 – Coral

0.5pt 6-1 – Betfred, Tote

First Goalscorer
Andy Keogh
0.5pt 17-2 – Bet365, VC

Harry Kane
0.5pt 17/2 Bet365, VCDraw

No Bet (Sunderland v Liverpool)
Sunderland 1pt 2-1 Betfair

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