Betting: Peterborough vs. Millwall

© Edmund Boyden

QUITE often in sport, the end does not justify
the means.  

Gambling is no different, and Saturday was a prime example of that. I'm fairly certain the bets I struck for the Reading game were the correct ones, despite the end result.

Millwall were seconds away from going into the break 1-0 up, and had they done so, would've been firm favourites to go on to win the game. A first-half injury-time equaliser often knocks the stuffing out of teams on the receiving end and I’m sure I wasn’t alone in fearing the worst at the interval.

The theories behind the goalscorer bets were justified. As expected, James Henry was keen to impress against his former club – even to the point of arguing over the taking of free kicks – and Paul Robinson had some half-chances from corners.

Although it’s a bet that might require plenty of patience, backing Robbo at 40/1 in the right games makes obvious appeal and it’s a bet I’m prepared to stick with for the time being.

Henry again looks value at 20/1, at least six points bigger than Ryan Mason, Liam Feeney and Hamer Bouazza.

I’m been very impressed with Andy Keogh’s finishing since joining and, with odds compilers slow in cottoning on, he is attractively priced at 8/1 to net first. Harry Kane is also of interest at the same odds. However, I can’t cover too many options so the Spurs loanee just misses the final cut.

With regards to the outcome itself, should Millwall reproduce their recent away form, I’ll be very surprised if they don’t take something from the trip to London Road.

I still believe bets should revolve around our ability to strike early, however I have less faith in our ability to hold on to a lead these days so have bet accordingly:

Draw No Bet
Millwall
1pt 5/4 – Paddy Power

Time of first away goal
First Half
1pt 23/20 – William Hill

First goalscorer
Paul Robinson 0.5pt 40/1 – Coral
James Henry 0.5pt 20/1 – Blue Square
Andy Keogh 0.5pt 8/1 – Bet365, Victor Chandler

Anytime goalscorer
Paul Robinson 0.5pt 12/1 generally

TH£ PROPH£T

February was my 15th winning months from the past 18

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